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Brokerage Recommendations and Targets Overview: Tata Power, Apollo Hospitals, Hero Motocorp, PB Fintech, ONGC, BIOCON, LIC, United Breweries, Emami, Divi’s Lab, Bandhan Bank

Brokerage Recommendations and Targets Overview: Tata Power, Apollo Hospitals, Hero Motocorp, PB Fintech, ONGC, BIOCON, LIC, United Breweries, Emami, Divi’s Lab, Bandhan Bank
Abhishek Sharma
Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Published: Updated: 4 min read
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CLSA on Tata Power
• Target: 249
• Recommendation: Sell
  – U.S. $5.6 billion growth premium already baked in
  – Stock seen ahead of fundamentals on retail frenzy
  – Key positives: Odisha Discoms and pump storage
  – Key risk: Weak coal prices impacting EPS

Citi Research on Tata Power
• Sell Rating
• Target: 295
• Earlier Target: 253
  – Project wins in transmission and renewables
  – Solar EPC business gains traction
  – Valuations considered expensive
  – Renewables generation capacity at 4261MW

Nuvama on Apollo Hospitals
• Target: 7,500
• Recommendation: Buy
  – Q3 revenue/EBITDA in line with estimates
  – Strong growth driven by hospitals and offline pharmacy
  – Bed expansion plan expected to add momentum from FY25 onwards
  – Hospitals’ revenue/EBITDA CAGR projected at 14%/17% over FY23-26

Citi Research on Apollo Hospitals
• Target: 7,670
  – Q3 results largely in line with expectations
  – EBITDA margins impacted by seasonality, cyclone impact, and investments
  – Management maintains 200bps margin expansion guidance
  – Hospital revenue growth expected to accelerate in the coming years

Nuvama on Hero Motocorp
• Target: 5,600
• Earlier Target: 5,000
• Recommendation: Buy
  – EBITDA & PAT surge in line with estimates
  – Geared up to benefit from 2W industry upcycle and new products
  – Forecast revenue/earnings CAGR of 10%/23% over FY23-26E

Jefferies on Hero Motocorp
• Target: 5,650
• Earlier Target: 5,325
• Recommendation: Buy
  – PAT and EBITDA growth 5-7% above expectations
  – 2W industry poised for strong cyclical recovery
  – Expect success in premium bikes and EVs to enhance growth outlook

Nomura on Hero Motocorp
• Target: 5,305
• Recommendation: Neutral
  – Revenue and EBITDA in line with estimates
  – Xtreme 125 R expected to address a key gap in 125cc segment
  – EVs and Harley noted as key monitorables

Jefferies on PB Fintech
• Target: 1,150
• Recommendation: Buy
  – Expect 30% CAGR in premiums over FY25-27E
  – Expect revenue moderation to 22% CAGR over FY24-27E
  – Expect 5x jump in EBITDA over FY23-27E
  – Key risks: Regulations and strong competition from Jio

Citi Research on Oil And Natural Gas Corp
• Target: 285
• Recommendation: Buy
  – Ebitda 5% below estimate on softer oil & gas production trends
  – Benefits of KG production ramp-up expected in Q4
  – Positive view on high earnings visibility, attractive dividend yield, fair valuations

BOFA ON BIOCON
• Maintain Buy; Cut target price to Rs 310 from Rs 325
• Wading through the one-offs in Q3
• BBL – Traction in existing portfolio but need margins
• Believe effort to de-leverage will be another key trigger for the stock

JPMORGAN ON LIC
• Upgrade to Overweight from Neutral; Hike target price to Rs 1340 from Rs 690
• Upgrade following strong Q3 NBV growth
• Growing market interest on the relative valuation merit of PSU over Be private players
• Relatively minor business implications related to potential surrender value increase

Citi Research on United Breweries
• Target: 1,600
• Earlier Target: 1,500
• Recommendation: Sell
  – Cuts FY24E earnings estimates by 8%
  – Lower-than-expected pace of recovery
  – Risks from upcoming elections and increased taxes
  – Profitability could be volatile

Citi Research on Emami
• Target: 600
• Earlier Target: 620
• Recommendation: Buy
  – Self-help initiatives expected to drive growth
  – EBITDA margin expansion anticipated due to input cost moderation
  – Strong growth with estimated 14% EPS CAGR over FY23-26E
  – Cuts FY24-26E earnings estimates by 5-7%

Nuvama on Divi’s Lab
• Target: 3,200
• Earlier Target: 3,070
• Recommendation: Reduce
  – Revenue disappoints; no meaningful margin recovery
  – Pressure in generics & higher opex led to EBITDA margin miss
  – Generics pricing pressure & logistics disruption to weigh on profits
  – Kakinada expansion expected to fuel future growth, but uncertainty around it

MACQUARIE ON BANDHAN BANK
• Maintain Neutral with target price of Rs 225
• Asset quality continues to disappoint
• PAT miss due to lower other income and higher credit costs
• What we didn’t like – EEB stress pool continues to increase

KOTAK ON DIVIS LAB
• Maintain Sell with target price of Rs 3025
• Weakness in generic APIs continues to weigh on overall print
• Some CSM traction after a lengthy lean patch
• Bake in ample optimism in FY25/26 estimates; valuations stay rich

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Abhishek Sharma
Founder & Editor-in-Chief

Abhishek Sharma

I’m Abhishek Sharma, an Advocate based in Delhi, entrepreneur, investor, and founder of BigBreakingWire. I am an enrolled Advocate with a strong interest in entrepreneurship, media, and technology. I founded BigBreakingWire, a digital news platform covering breaking news, business, financial markets, companies, and important developments in India and around the world. I also have a software company and take an active interest in technology, software, AI, digital products, and new business ideas. As an investor, I’m interested in discovering and investing in promising businesses and startups. I look for good ideas, strong founders, practical business models, and opportunities with long-term potential. I enjoy building businesses, learning about new industries, and connecting with people who are working on interesting ideas and opportunities. Advocate | Entrepreneur | Investor | Founder & Editor-in-Chief, BigBreakingWire

Last reviewed by Abhishek Sharma on February 16, 2024

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