Morgan Stanley suggests that Tesla’s growth projection of a 50% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) for volume throughout the decade might be difficult to achieve, as Tesla’s unit volume has declined nearly double digits year-over-year in the first quarter of 2024 and is expected to continue falling for the rest of the year.
Despite this, Morgan Stanley has reiterated its price target of $310 for Tesla, indicating that the firm still maintains a positive outlook for the company’s long-term prospects.
However, Morgan Stanley also acknowledges that in the coming quarters, their bear case scenario for Tesla, with a price target of $100, could become a reality if the company’s performance continues to decline.
This suggests that while Morgan Stanley has a generally optimistic view of Tesla’s future, there is also a recognition of the potential risks and challenges that the company faces.
Bernstein has reiterated its “Underperform” rating for Tesla stock, maintaining a price target of $120.
The firm views Tesla’s upcoming unveiling of the ROBOTAXI on August 8 as more of an aspirational move, similar to previous announcements like the Tesla Semi and Roadster.
However, they do not expect the ROBOTAXI to be Tesla’s next major model. Additionally, Bernstein highlighted the competitive landscape, noting that competitors like BYD already offer a $15K sedan, the Qin Plus, which boasts a 250-mile range and is larger than the Model 3. The firm expects competitors’ offerings to improve over the next three years, posing a challenge to Tesla.
