Jefferies Forecasts Potential Market Disappointment as India’s FY25 Budget Indicates Slower Capital Expenditure Growth

Jefferies Forecasts Potential Market Disappointment as India's FY25 Budget Indicates Slower Capital Expenditure Growth

Jefferies’ note suggests that India’s FY25 budget could exhibit a reduced growth in capital expenditure compared to previous years, potentially causing market disappointment.

Key Highlights

• Jefferies, a global financial services firm, foresees a diminished growth in capital expenditure in India’s FY25 budget compared to previous years, potentially resulting in reduced allocations for infrastructure development, public projects, and sector investments.

• The noted slowdown in capex growth is perceived as a potential market “disappointment,” with investors reacting negatively due to their expectations for ongoing infrastructural and economic expansion.

• Possible reasons for this deceleration include fiscal consolidation pressures, where the government may prioritize reducing the budget deficit, necessitating adjustments in spending priorities.

• Global economic uncertainties could also play a role, prompting the government to exercise caution in public spending to navigate external challenges.

• Additionally, domestic priorities such as increased emphasis on social welfare programs or subsidies might compete for a larger share of the budget, contributing to the slower growth in capital expenditure.

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