Bank of Japan’s Governor Ueda has proposed lifting the negative interest rate policy during its ongoing meetings, marking a potential major shift in monetary easing measures. If approved, it would be the first such change in 17 years.
The actual Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate decision stands at 0% to 0.1%, while the forecast was at -0.1%, aligning with the previous rate of -0.1%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has adjusted its policy rate range to 0% to 0.1%, marking the first increase in interest rates in over a decade.
Additionally, the BOJ has discontinued its yield curve control.
The BOJ made changes to its money market operations guidelines in a 7-2 vote.
Long-term Japanese Government Bond (JGB) purchases were decided upon with an 8-1 vote.
Asset purchases excluding long-term JGBs were unanimously agreed upon.
The BOJ will continue JGB purchases at a similar volume as before.
The treatment of new loan disbursements under the fund-provisioning measure to stimulate bank lending was unanimously determined.
BOJ board members Nakamura and Noguchi dissented from the decision regarding the change in money market operations guideline.
BOJ’s Nakamura dissents from the decision regarding the change in money market operations but agrees with ending ETF buying primarily for large firms. However, Nakamura believes that negative interest rate policy (NIRP) should persist until there is a potential for increased purchasing power for small firms.
During today’s second-day meeting, Governor Ueda and eight other policy committee members are discussing the immediate policy direction. While some members suggest a careful assessment of the Bank of Japan’s 2% price stability target alongside wage increases, many believe the goal is likely to be achieved and are increasingly convinced of this.
During the meeting, each member shares their opinion individually. Governor Ueda, who chairs the session, seems to be steering discussions towards lifting the negative interest rate policy, a key aspect of monetary easing. Additionally, there’s talk about discontinuing yield curve control, which keeps long-term interest rates low, and halting ETF purchases.
If Japan lifts the negative interest rate policy and raises interest rates for the first time in 17 years, it will signal a significant shift towards normalization in its monetary policy, which has been unusual globally. However, the Bank will not hastily raise interest rates further and intends to maintain an accommodative environment for the time being.
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda warns that a potential 1% interest rate hike could lead to a 40 trillion yen valuation loss on JGB holdings.
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda is scheduled to host a press conference at 3:30 p.m. to elaborate on the specifics.
(with inputs from NHK)
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