Fitch Ratings emphasizes that Indian banks’ risk appetite, demonstrated through increased loan growth, remains a crucial factor affecting their creditworthiness.
Alongside, sustaining risk-adjusted returns is deemed equally significant for banks’ overall performance.
Historical volatility has significantly impacted banks, especially during periods of economic downturn, underscoring the importance of stable risk management practices.
While asset quality pressures stemming from past credit cycles are gradually diminishing, they continue to influence the viability ratings of Indian banks, albeit to a lesser extent.
Fitch highlights that loss absorption buffers, particularly within Indian state-owned banks, are currently at moderate levels, warranting attention to enhance their resilience against potential shocks.
Despite improvements in performance, Indian banks still grapple with lingering concerns regarding their risk profiles, which directly impact their viability ratings.
The recent regulatory interventions by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have contributed to reinforcing governance and risk management frameworks within the banking sector, albeit their efficacy throughout economic cycles remains to be fully proven.
Fitch believes that while the RBI’s measures have instilled a sense of caution among banks regarding risk-taking activities, their effectiveness in ensuring stability and resilience across economic cycles is yet to be thoroughly validated.
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